Prior record: 0-3-5 across 8 since 2023. Most recent 2026, 3-4 in Botola Pro. Against that, current ratings read 1541 and 1766, a 225-point margin, and the model splits the tie 17.3% / 22.4% / 60.3%.
Goal expectation splits 0.77 to 1.24. Higher rating: the away side. A 37.9-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Spread across the three results is 43.0 points. Neither figure is thin: 120 and 314 matches respectively sit behind them. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. Renaissance Berkane is ahead on each half — 1.01 to 0.82 in attack, 0.63 to 0.90 in defence. A decisive result carries 77.6% against 22.4% for the draw. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +41 and +266. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. It ended 0-0. Renaissance Berkane carries the largest share, 60.3%. Its rounded call is 0-1. A 225-point spread sits between the two figures. Renaissance Berkane's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 71.5%. In absolute terms: UTS Rabat 0.82/0.90, Renaissance Berkane 1.01/0.63 on attack and defence. Most weight falls on 0-1 at 16.7%.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
UTS Rabat's previous five results comprised four wins and one draw. Their goal totals were 9 scored and 3 conceded, with no defeats. Latest: a 1-0 win away to Widad Témara on 2 October; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to El Massira on 21 July.
On 2 October, Widad Témara faced UTS Rabat in Botola Pro: UTS Rabat won 1-0 away from home, having scored one and conceded zero. Botola Pro, 26 September brought a home meeting with FUS Rabat; UTS Rabat won 2-1, a return of two goals scored and one conceded. UTS Rabat hosted El Massira on 21 July (Botola Pro) and won 3-0; their goals totalled three, compared with zero conceded. El Massira hosted UTS Rabat (Botola Pro) on 17 July. For UTS Rabat, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed. 2-1 was UTS Rabat's result against Wydad AC on 5 July (Botola Pro), playing away from home; UTS Rabat won, with two scored to one conceded.
Renaissance Berkane: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; eight goals scored, five conceded. Moghreb Tetouan were their latest opponents, away on 27 September: a 0-0 draw.
On 27 September, Moghreb Tetouan faced Renaissance Berkane in Botola Pro: Renaissance Berkane drew 0-0 away from home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Botola Pro, 5 July brought an away meeting with Difaa EL Jadida; Renaissance Berkane won 3-1, a return of three goals scored and one conceded. Renaissance Berkane hosted Wydad AC on 2 July (Botola Pro) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. FUS Rabat hosted Renaissance Berkane (Botola Pro) on 28 June. For Renaissance Berkane, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed. 2-2 was Renaissance Berkane's result against FAR Rabat on 25 June (Botola Pro), playing at home; Renaissance Berkane drew, with two scored to two conceded.
Previous meetings in our records: a 4-3 home win for Renaissance Berkane on 7 May and a 2-2 draw at UTS Rabat on 5 October 2025.
After the match
UTS Rabat and Renaissance Berkane could not be separated in a goalless draw on 8 October 2026. Y. El Kaabi (34'), A. Chaynane (70') and Y. Ait Bennasser (85') were booked. UTS Rabat are unbeaten in the latest 8 matches of their recorded form. Renaissance Berkane are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form. The card tally for UTS Rabat was one yellow card. five changes were recorded for UTS Rabat. The card tally for Renaissance Berkane was two yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Renaissance Berkane. A clean sheet for UTS Rabat. A clean sheet for Renaissance Berkane.