On file: 9 previous meetings dating to 2021, 5-16 on goals. Last time: 2026, 1-1 in Jordanian Pro League. Today those sides rate 1476 and 1756, 280 apart, which resolves to 12.2% / 20.4% / 67.4%.
The higher rating belongs to the away side. Attack/defence pairs: 0.84/1.26 and 1.42/0.53. The underlying goal expectation is 0.66 for Al Jazeera, 2.43 for Al Wihdat. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -24 and +256. Neither component contradicts the other: Al Wihdat leads 1.42-0.84 forward and 0.53-1.26 back. Both figures rest on decent samples, 93 and 132 matches. Rounded, that is 0-2. Al Wihdat leads the distribution by 47.0 points over the draw. 67.4% goes to Al Wihdat, the model's lean. Distance between the ratings: 280 points, wide on this scale. The higher-rated side expects 77.5% of the points; the other side 22.5%. Scorelines above 8%: 4. A 55.2-point range top to bottom. 0-2 leads the scorelines at 13.4% — not a strong call. 79.6% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. It ended 0-1.
Numbers from our own elo-poisson-v1 model, not a third-party stat feed. Analysis only.
Match Report
Before the match
eight goals for and five against accompanied Al Jazeera's one win, three draws and one defeat across five outings. A 0-0 draw away to Al Arabi (18 September) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 5-0 away to Al Hussein on 5 September.
Al Arabi hosted Al Jazeera (Jordanian Pro League) on 18 September. For Al Jazeera, the score was 0-0: zero goals scored, zero allowed. 1-1 was Al Jazeera's result against Shabab Al Ordon on 10 September (Jordanian Pro League), playing at home; Al Jazeera drew, with one scored to one conceded. The 5 September fixture (Jordanian Pro League) paired Al Jazeera with Al Hussein. Al Jazeera won 5-0 away from home, netting five goals while conceding zero. Playing at home against Al Salt (Jordanian Pro League), Al Jazeera finished 1-1 on 7 May. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 4 May: Al Jazeera lost 1-3 against Shabab Al Ordon at home in Jordanian Pro League, scoring one goal and allowing three.
three goals for and two against accompanied Al Wihdat's one win, three draws and one defeat across five outings, keeping three clean sheets. A 1-0 defeat at home to Al Ramtha (18 September) was their most recent result.
Al Wihdat's at home game on 18 September (Jordanian Pro League) ended 0-1 against Al Ramtha, with zero goals for and one against. On 12 September, Al Salt faced Al Wihdat in Jordanian Pro League: Al Wihdat drew 0-0 away from home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Jordanian Pro League, 4 September brought a home meeting with Al Faisaly; Al Wihdat drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. Al Wihdat hosted Al Ahli on 8 May (Jordanian Pro League) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. Al Salt hosted Al Wihdat (Jordanian Pro League) on 3 May. For Al Wihdat, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed.
The last two recorded meetings were a 1-1 draw at Al Wihdat on 25 April and a 2-0 home win for Al Wihdat on 13 February.
After the match
Al Wihdat edged past Al Jazeera 1-0 on 9 October 2026. A. Sabrah opened the scoring in the 18th minute for Al Wihdat, set up by M. Rateb, to make it 1-0. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have Al Wihdat 280 points stronger than Al Jazeera. Al Wihdat: 67.4% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Al Wihdat kept their opponents scoreless.