The head-to-head counts 8 recorded meetings since 2023: 0 to UTS Rabat, 4 to FUS Rabat, 4 drawn, 4-12 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 0-2 in comp-apf-BOT. History aside, the live ratings of 1541 and 1596 drive a 37.6% / 27.6% / 34.7% distribution.
These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. A 10.0-point range covers every outcome here. The leading two outcomes sit 2.9 points apart, which is not a real preference. Neither side holds both halves — UTS Rabat scores at 0.82, FUS Rabat concedes at 0.81. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +41 and +96. The model's expected-goals figures are 0.99 and 0.99. The scoreline spread is even — 0-0 on 13.8% leads, but only just. Both figures rest on decent samples, 120 and 300 matches. Result on the day: 2-1. The model's preferred outcome is UTS Rabat at 37.6%. Raw profiles are 0.82 and 0.90 against 0.81 and 0.81. Higher rating: the away side. Someone wins 72.3% of the time by this model. 55 points of rating separation. By expected share of the points: 51.4% and 48.6%. The single-scoreline output is 0-0. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
UTS Rabat edged past FUS Rabat 2-1 on 26 September 2026. A. Ajerrar opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for UTS Rabat, set up by Y. Kajai, to make it 1-0. S. Lotfi added to the tally in the 28th minute for UTS Rabat, set up by R. Ait Lamkadem, to make it 2-0. M. Lahtimi pulled one back from the penalty spot 70 minutes into the game for FUS Rabat to make it 1-2. H. Regragui (21'), M. Bakhkhach (34'), W. Rhailouf (73'), M. Ferhane (78') and A. Chaynane (94') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make FUS Rabat slightly the stronger side, by 55 rating points over UTS Rabat, even though it was UTS Rabat who won this one. UTS Rabat are unbeaten in the latest 6 matches of their recorded form. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 0 to 0. UTS Rabat won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 8 meetings without a win.