FAR Rabat 1–2 Raja Casablanca: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1750against1725

A 25-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Goal expectation

FAR Rabat0.85

Raja Casablanca0.83

Expected share of the points

01
22 meetings sit in the record, first in 2016, aggregate 22-23. The latest was 2026, 2-1 in Botola Pro. Currently 1750 against 1725 — a 50.2% / 24.9% / 24.9% split.
02
Result on the day: 1-2. The distribution peaks at 0-0, 18.6%, with 1-0 behind it at 15.8%. Between best and worst outcome there is 25.3 points of daylight. A 25.3-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Neither side holds both halves — FAR Rabat scores at 0.96, Raja Casablanca concedes at 0.60. Expected goals sit at 0.85 against 0.83. Ratings sit 25 apart. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +250 and +225. Higher rating: the home side. The four component numbers read 0.96, 0.67, 0.92, 0.60. Point estimate: 0-0. Behind them are 325 and 342 rated matches. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. Expected shares on the Elo curve: 62.7% and 37.3%. Someone wins 75.1% of the time by this model. Most likely single result is FAR Rabat on 50.2%.
03
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Raja Casablanca edged past FAR Rabat 2-1 at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat on 4 November 2026.

Before the match

FAR Rabat's previous five results comprised three wins and two draws. Their goal totals were 7 scored and 3 conceded, keeping three clean sheets, with no defeats. Latest: a 0-0 draw away to CODM Meknès on 1 November.

0-0 was FAR Rabat's result against CODM Meknès on 1 November (Botola Pro), playing away from home; FAR Rabat drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 28 October fixture (Botola Pro) paired FAR Rabat with Ittihad Tanger. FAR Rabat won 2-0 at home, netting two goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Hassania Agadir (Botola Pro), FAR Rabat finished 2-2 on 12 October. Their score comprised two goals, against two from the opposition. 8 October: FAR Rabat won 1-0 against Widad Témara at home in Botola Pro, scoring one goal and allowing zero. Against Stade Marocain in Throne Cup, FAR Rabat scored two and conceded one on 8 July; the at home result was 2-1.

Raja Casablanca's previous five results comprised one win, three draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 4 conceded. Latest: a 2-0 defeat away to Renaissance Berkane on 1 November.

Against Renaissance Berkane in Botola Pro, Raja Casablanca scored zero and conceded two on 1 November; the away from home result was 0-2. Raja Casablanca's at home game on 28 October (Botola Pro) ended 1-1 against Hassania Agadir, with one goal for and one against. On 13 October, FUS Rabat faced Raja Casablanca in Botola Pro: Raja Casablanca drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one. Botola Pro, 8 October brought an away meeting with Maghreb Fès; Raja Casablanca drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. Raja Casablanca hosted CR Khemis Zemamra on 3 October (Botola Pro) and won 1-0; their goals totalled one, compared with zero conceded.

The last two recorded meetings were a 2-1 home win for FAR Rabat on 30 April and a 0-0 draw at Raja Casablanca on 17 September 2025.

After the match

Ismail khafi opened the scoring inside the first 2 minutes for Raja Casablanca, set up by Adam Ennaffati, to make it 1-0. Youssef fahli al levelled it in the 27th minute for FAR Rabat, set up by Anas Bach, to make it 1-1. Raja Casablanca regained the lead through Adam Ennaffati in the 37th minute, set up by ismail khafi, to make it 2-1. Mohamed Boulacsout (17'), ismail khafi (41'), Fallou Formose Mendy (53') and Micheal Agbekpornu (85') were booked. All the scoring was done by half time. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Raja Casablanca only a 24.9% chance in this pairing, less than one in three. The card tally for FAR Rabat was one yellow card. five changes were recorded for FAR Rabat. The card tally for Raja Casablanca was three yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Raja Casablanca.