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Gooolll model readHow this works
Current ratings

1501against1521

A 20-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers
Goal expectation
Công An Nhân Dân1.48
Kyoto Sanga1.41
Expected share of the points
  1. 01

    Draw weight is the story: 26.4% of a 43.1% / 26.4% / 30.4% split.

  2. 02

    Scorelines above 8%: 4. Higher rating: the away side. A decisive result carries 73.5% against 26.4% for the draw. Its rounded call is 1-1. The two halves pull apart — Kyoto Sanga better going forward at 1.04, Công An Nhân Dân tighter at the back on 1.00. 43.1% goes to Công An Nhân Dân, the model's lean. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 11.6%. Only 5 rated matches back the Công An Nhân Dân figure. The match finished 0-0. A 20-point spread sits between the two figures. A 16.7-point range top to bottom. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. Công An Nhân Dân sits 12.7 points above the next most likely result. Expected shares 56.4% against 43.6% on Elo. Versus the 1500 seed: +1 and +21. The four component numbers read 0.97, 1.00, 1.04, 1.03. Expected goals sit at 1.48 against 1.41.

  3. 03

    From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Công An Nhân Dân and Kyoto Sanga could not be separated in a goalless draw at Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

six goals for and seven against accompanied Công An Nhân Dân's two wins and two defeats across four outings. On 27 October, Công An Nhân Dân recorded a 3-2 win visiting SHANGHAI SIPG.

The 27 October fixture (AFC Champions League) paired Công An Nhân Dân with SHANGHAI SIPG. Công An Nhân Dân won 3-2 away from home, netting three goals while conceding two. Playing at home against Kashima (AFC Champions League), Công An Nhân Dân finished 0-1 on 13 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 15 September: Công An Nhân Dân lost 1-4 against Gamba Osaka away from home in AFC Champions League, scoring one goal and allowing four. Against Adelaide United in AFC Champions League, Công An Nhân Dân scored two and conceded zero on 11 August; the away from home result was 2-0.

Kyoto Sanga came into the game with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring 11 goals and conceding nine. A 2-0 win at home to Shimizu S-pulse (31 October) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 5-2 at home to Newcastle Jets on 27 October.

J1 League, 31 October brought a home meeting with Shimizu S-pulse; Kyoto Sanga won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. Kyoto Sanga hosted Newcastle Jets on 27 October (AFC Champions League) and won 5-2; their goals totalled five, compared with two conceded. Gamba Osaka hosted Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) on 24 October. For Kyoto Sanga, the score was 2-2: two goals scored, two allowed. 2-2 was Kyoto Sanga's result against Kashima on 21 October (J1 League), playing at home; Kyoto Sanga drew, with two scored to two conceded. The 17 October fixture (J1 League) paired Kyoto Sanga with Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Kyoto Sanga lost 0-3 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding three.

After the match

Hiroto Morooka (10'), Alan Grafite (41'), Bui Hoang Viet Anh (46'), Damià Sabater Tous (46') and Hisashi Appiah Tawiah (53') were booked. Kyoto Sanga are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 AFC Champions League and the 2026/27 J1 League. The card tally for Công An Nhân Dân was three yellow cards. Công An Nhân Dân made four changes. two yellow cards went to Kyoto Sanga. The substitution total for Kyoto Sanga was five. A clean sheet for Công An Nhân Dân. Kyoto Sanga conceded no goals.