Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Daejeon Citizen: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1626against1563

A 63-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Goal expectation

Kashiwa Reysol1.94

Daejeon Citizen1.40

Expected share of the points

01
A 55.8% / 23.5% / 20.7% split off ratings of 1626 and 1563. Kashiwa Reysol is ahead on each half — 1.39 to 1.11 in attack, 0.93 to 0.94 in defence.
02
Neither figure is thin: 24 and 21 matches respectively sit behind them. Raw profiles are 1.39 and 0.93 against 1.11 and 0.94. 2 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The higher rating belongs to the home side. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +126 and +63. No scoreline stands out; 1-1 only leads on 9.6%. The model's preferred outcome is Kashiwa Reysol at 55.8%. The distribution runs from 55.8% down to 20.7%. Win-or-lose totals 76.5%; the draw takes the rest. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. 63 points of rating separation. Point estimate: 1-1. The match finished 2-0. Kashiwa Reysol sits 32.3 points above the next most likely result. The higher-rated side expects 67.6% of the points; the other side 32.4%. On expected goals the model has it 1.94 against 1.40.
03
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Kashiwa Reysol beat Daejeon Citizen 2-0 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

Kashiwa Reysol came into the game with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring eight goals and conceding five, keeping three clean sheets. A 4-0 win at home to Urawa (31 October) was their most recent result.

J1 League, 31 October brought a home meeting with Urawa; Kashiwa Reysol won 4-0, a return of four goals scored and zero conceded. Kashiwa Reysol visited Ratchaburi on 27 October (AFC Champions League) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded. Kashima hosted Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) on 24 October. For Kashiwa Reysol, the score was 3-2: three goals scored, two allowed. 0-0 was Kashiwa Reysol's result against FC Tokyo on 21 October (J1 League), playing away from home; Kashiwa Reysol drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 17 October fixture (J1 League) paired Kashiwa Reysol with Nagoya Grampus. Kashiwa Reysol lost 1-3 at home, netting one goal while conceding three.

Daejeon Citizen: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, five conceded. Latest: a 0-0 draw away to Jeonbuk Motors on 31 October.

Playing away from home against Jeonbuk Motors (K League 1), Daejeon Citizen finished 0-0 on 31 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against zero from the opposition. 27 October: Daejeon Citizen lost 0-1 against Vissel Kobe at home in AFC Champions League, scoring zero goals and allowing one. Against Gimcheon Sangmu FC in K League 1, Daejeon Citizen scored two and conceded one on 24 October; the away from home result was 2-1. Daejeon Citizen's at home game on 18 October (K League 1) ended 3-2 against Gwangju FC, with three goals for and two against. On 13 October, SHANGHAI SIPG faced Daejeon Citizen in AFC Champions League: Daejeon Citizen drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one.

After the match

Keita Endo opened the scoring 47 minutes into the game for Kashiwa Reysol, set up by Tojiro Kubo, to make it 1-0. Shota Fujio added to the tally 57 minutes into the game for Kashiwa Reysol, set up by Nobuteru Nakagawa, to make it 2-0. Riki Harakawa (7'), Nobuteru Nakagawa (27') and Kenshin Yuba (92') were booked. Kashiwa Reysol: 55.8% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Kashiwa Reysol are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in the 2026/27 AFC Champions League and the 2026/27 J1 League. Expected goals put the gap at 2.28 to 0.54. three yellow cards went to Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol: five substitutions. Daejeon Citizen: five substitutions. Kashiwa Reysol kept their opponents scoreless.