Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 Johor Darul Takzim FC: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

Current ratings

1621against1583

A 38-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Goal expectation

Jeonbuk Motors1.28

Johor Darul Takzim FC1.10

Expected share of the points

01
The component ratings barely separate them — 1.02 and 0.97 for scoring, 0.84 and 0.84 for conceding — so the model is not leaning on a stylistic mismatch here. On rating it is 1621 against 1583, which the model resolves to 52.3% / 24.4% / 23.4%.
02
On expected goals the model has it 1.28 against 1.10. Jeonbuk Motors carries the largest share, 52.3%. With 86 and 56 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The gap between first and second outcome is 27.9 points, Jeonbuk Motors ahead of the draw. On the rating scale the distance between them is moderate, at 38 points. A decisive result carries 75.7% against 24.4% for the draw. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Raw profiles are 1.02 and 0.84 against 0.97 and 0.84. It ended 2-0. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. Spread across the three results is 28.9 points. Rounded, that is 1-1. The higher rating expects 64.4% of the points, the lower 35.6%. Higher rating: the home side. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +121 and +83. No scoreline stands out; 1-1 only leads on 13.0%.
03
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Jeonbuk Motors beat Johor Darul Takzim FC 2-0 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

Jeonbuk Motors: one win, three draws and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, seven conceded. Latest: a 0-0 draw at home to Daejeon Citizen on 31 October.

On 31 October, Daejeon Citizen faced Jeonbuk Motors in K League 1: Jeonbuk Motors drew 0-0 at home, having scored zero and conceded zero. AFC Champions League, 27 October brought an away meeting with Beijing Guoan; Jeonbuk Motors drew 2-2, a return of two goals scored and two conceded. Jeonbuk Motors visited FC Anyang on 24 October (K League 1) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Jeju United FC travelled to face Jeonbuk Motors (K League 1) on 18 October. For Jeonbuk Motors, the score was 3-2: three goals scored, two allowed. 0-2 was Jeonbuk Motors's result against Vissel Kobe on 14 October (AFC Champions League), playing away from home; Jeonbuk Motors lost, with zero scored to two conceded.

Johor Darul Takzim FC came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring seven goals and conceding four. On 27 October, Johor Darul Takzim FC recorded a 3-0 win hosting Port FC.

AFC Champions League, 27 October brought a home meeting with Port FC; Johor Darul Takzim FC won 3-0, a return of three goals scored and zero conceded. Johor Darul Takzim FC visited Pohang Steelers on 13 October (AFC Champions League) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. Buriram United travelled to face Johor Darul Takzim FC (AFC Champions League) on 15 September. For Johor Darul Takzim FC, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed. 1-2 was Johor Darul Takzim FC's result against Al-Ahli Jeddah on 17 April (AFC Champions League), playing away from home; Johor Darul Takzim FC lost, with one scored to two conceded. The 11 March fixture (AFC Champions League) paired Johor Darul Takzim FC with Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Johor Darul Takzim FC lost 0-1 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding one.

After the match

Bruno Mota opened the scoring in the 22nd minute for Jeonbuk Motors, set up by Kim Jin-Gyu, to make it 1-0. Italo Vargas added to the tally from the penalty spot 48 minutes into the game for Jeonbuk Motors to make it 2-0. Bruno Mota (58') was booked. Jeonbuk Motors are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in the 2026 K League 1 and the 2026/27 AFC Champions League. The card tally for Jeonbuk Motors was one yellow card. Jeonbuk Motors made five changes. Johor Darul Takzim FC: five substitutions. Jeonbuk Motors finished with a clean sheet.