This is one of the wider gaps on the slate: 1649 plays 1473, 176 points apart, splitting 22.5% / 24.1% / 53.4%.
A 30.9-point range top to bottom. The match finished 1-2. Both components point the same way, toward Vissel Kobe: 1.30 to 0.93 going forward, 0.95 to 1.04 going back. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: -27 and +149. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 10.4%. The single-scoreline output is 1-1. Ratings sit 176 apart. Expected goals 1.31-1.82. Scorelines above 8%: 3. Someone wins 75.9% of the time by this model. The away side is rated higher. The four component numbers read 0.93, 1.04, 1.30, 0.95. Note the ratings are live, not frozen at kickoff. Vissel Kobe carries the largest share, 53.4%. The higher-rated side expects 65.5% of the points; the other side 34.5%. Both figures rest on decent samples, 9 and 37 matches. Vissel Kobe holds a 29.3-point edge on the next outcome.
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Match Report
Vissel Kobe edged past Port FC 2-1 on 16 September 2026. Ren Komatsu opened the scoring inside the first 10 minutes for Vissel Kobe, set up by Issei Takahashi, to make it 1-0. Ren Komatsu (an own goal) levelled it 49 minutes into the game for Port FC to make it 1-1. Vissel Kobe regained the lead through Yoshinori Muto 61 minutes into the game, set up by Yuya Osako, to make it 2-1. Kaká Mendes (65'), João Victor Andrade Caetano (72'), Shuichi Gonda (74') and Suphanan Bureerat (77') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Vissel Kobe 176 points stronger than Port FC.