Across 4 recorded meetings back to 2024 the split is 0-2-2 from Johor Darul Takzim FC's side on wins, 1-3 on goals. The last was 2025, 1-2 in comp-apf-AFCCL. Against that, current ratings read 1571 and 1534, a 37-point margin, and the model splits the tie 52.1% / 24.4% / 23.5%.
A 28.6-point range top to bottom. 1-0 leads the scorelines at 13.4% — not a strong call. Expected goals sit at 1.33 against 0.96. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 64.3% to 35.7%. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. The leading outcome clears the second by 27.7 points. The single-scoreline output is 1-0. Johor Darul Takzim FC carries the largest share, 52.1%. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +71 and +34. With 52 and 51 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. Played and finished 1-1. Higher rating: the home side. The four component numbers read 0.94, 0.92, 0.78, 0.96. The model gives 75.6% to someone winning. Johor Darul Takzim FC is ahead on each half — 0.94 to 0.78 in attack, 0.92 to 0.96 in defence.
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Match Report
Johor Darul Takzim FC and Buriram United drew 1-1 on 15 September 2026. Oscar Arribas opened the scoring in the 26th minute for Johor Darul Takzim FC, set up by Marcos Guilherme, to make it 1-0. Stefan Schimmer levelled it in the 43rd minute for Buriram United, set up by Darlan Pereira Mendes, to make it 1-1. Kenneth William Dougall (57') was sent off. Jonathan Silva (17'), Afiq Fazail (25'), Kenneth William Dougall (35'), Shahab Zahedi (46') and Kevin Medina (64') were booked.