The head-to-head counts 3 recorded meetings since 2023: 3 to Petro de Luanda, 0 to Songo, 0 drawn, 6-2 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 1-0 in comp-apf-CAFCL. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1724 and 1453 — 271 points — for a 79.3% / 16.2% / 4.5% split.
Outcomes span 74.8 points. Rating separation comes to 271 points. Raw profiles are 0.81 and 0.53 against 0.82 and 1.01. The xG line reads 1.21 to 0.59. The tie closed out 2-2. Petro de Luanda leads the distribution by 63.1 points over the draw. By expected share of the points: 87.4% and 12.6%. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. A decisive result carries 83.8% against 16.2% for the draw. 1-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 20.1%. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +224 and -47. The ratings draw on 64 and 10 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. Point estimate: 1-0. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Higher rating: the home side. The two halves pull apart — Songo better going forward at 0.82, Petro de Luanda tighter at the back on 0.53.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.
Match Report
Petro de Luanda and Songo drew 2-2 on 12 September 2026. J. Toro opened the scoring inside the first 15 minutes for Petro de Luanda to make it 1-0. Songo levelled it 51 minutes into the game for Songo to make it 1-1. Petro de Luanda regained the lead through Petro de Luanda 69 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. Songo levelled it 71 minutes into the game for Songo to make it 2-2. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have Petro de Luanda 271 points stronger than Songo.