This is one of the wider gaps on the slate: 1755 plays 1494, 261 points apart, splitting 78.5% / 16.6% / 5.0%.
First to second is a 61.9-point step, MC Alger over the draw. In absolute terms: MC Alger 1.01/0.55, NIGELEC 0.85/0.95 on attack and defence. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. Just one prior encounter is on file — 2026, 0-0 in comp-apf-CAFCL. Rounded, that is 1-0. xG: 1.42 to 0.63. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 261 points. Both components point the same way, toward MC Alger: 1.01 to 0.85 going forward, 0.55 to 0.95 going back. The higher rating expects 86.7% of the points, the lower 13.3%. Top of the distribution: MC Alger, 78.5%. NIGELEC's number leans on a 4-match sample. Win-or-lose totals 83.5%; the draw takes the rest. Outcomes span 73.5 points. The match finished 5-0. Of the individual scorelines, 1-0 carries the most weight at 18.3% — 2-0 is next at 13.0%. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +255 and -6. The higher rating belongs to the home side.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
MC Alger overwhelmed NIGELEC 5-0 on 12 September 2026. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have MC Alger 261 points stronger than NIGELEC. On current ratings the model favours MC Alger at 78.5% in this pairing, and MC Alger won this one. On current ratings the model puts MC Alger at around 1.42 goals in this pairing; they scored 5 here. MC Alger are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in Algeria Ligue 1 2025/26, CAF Champions League 2026/27 and Algeria Ligue 1 2026/27. MC Alger won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 1 meeting without a win.