Club Africain rates 1766 to Djoliba's 1529 — 237 points. Split: 16.1% / 22.0% / 61.9%.
The tie closed out 2-2. Attack/defence pairs: 1.06/0.98 and 1.02/0.28. Someone wins 78.0% of the time by this model. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. A 237-point spread sits between the two figures. The leading outcome clears the second by 39.9 points. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +29 and +266. The away side is rated higher. Point estimate: 0-1. The model's preferred outcome is Club Africain at 61.9%. Each side owns one half of the argument — Djoliba the scoring rate at 1.06, Club Africain the conceding rate at 0.28. Scorelines above 8%: 4. The record shows a single previous meeting, 2026, 0-1 in comp-apf-CAFCL; not enough to lean on. Djoliba: only 4 rated matches. Most weight falls on 0-1 at 22.7%. Club Africain's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 72.9%. Outcomes span 45.8 points. Goal expectation splits 0.43 to 1.35.
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.
Match Report
Djoliba and Club Africain drew 2-2 on 12 September 2026. A. Kouyate opened the scoring in the 16th minute for Djoliba to make it 1-0. S. Kadida levelled it in the 18th minute for Club Africain to make it 1-1. Djoliba regained the lead through F. Araba Dakouo 58 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. Club Africain levelled it late on, in the 84th minute for Club Africain to make it 2-2. Club Africain are unbeaten in the latest 10 matches of their recorded form in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1 2025/26, Tunisia Ligue Pro 1 2026/27 and CAF Champions League 2026/27.