The head-to-head counts 11 recorded meetings since 2020: 6 to Ceramica Cleopatra, 2 to National Bank of Egypt, 3 drawn, 16-13 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 2-2 in comp-apf-EGY. The present numbers are 1671 against 1593, and the model turns that into 58.0% / 23.0% / 19.0%.
A 39.0-point range top to bottom. One edge each: scoring to National Bank of Egypt (0.97 v 0.97), conceding to Ceramica Cleopatra (0.74 v 0.81). Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 1-0. The higher-rated side expects 69.5% of the points; the other side 30.5%. Flat distribution — 1-0 tops it at just 13.7%. 77.0% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. With 187 and 194 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. A 78-point difference on the rating scale. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +171 and +93. Raw profiles are 0.97 and 0.74 against 0.97 and 0.81. The higher rating belongs to the home side. Scorelines above 8%: 5. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. Final score: 2-0. Ceramica Cleopatra carries the largest share, 58.0%.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.
Match Report
Ceramica Cleopatra beat National Bank of Egypt 2-0 on 14 September 2026. Mohamed Reda opened the scoring 49 minutes into the game for Ceramica Cleopatra, set up by Ahmed Belhadji, to make it 1-0. Amr Kalawa added to the tally 65 minutes into the game for Ceramica Cleopatra to make it 2-0. Assem Salah (17'), Ali Maher (17'), Ahmed Belhadji (46'), Mahmoud El Gazzar (70') and Ali Hamdy (92') were booked. On current ratings the model favours Ceramica Cleopatra at 58% in this pairing, and Ceramica Cleopatra won this one. Ceramica Cleopatra's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins.