On file: 11 previous meetings dating to 2021, 10-8 on goals. Last time: 2026, 0-2 in comp-apf-EGY. Today those sides rate 1525 and 1671, 146 apart, which resolves to 26.0% / 25.2% / 48.8%.
146 points of rating separation. Higher rating: the away side. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. Played and finished 0-2. Ceramica Cleopatra is ahead on each half — 0.97 to 0.60 in attack, 0.74 to 0.77 in defence. Both figures rest on decent samples, 449 and 187 matches. The four component numbers read 0.60, 0.77, 0.97, 0.74. 0-1 tops the scoreline distribution on 19.0%. Top of the distribution: Ceramica Cleopatra, 48.8%. Someone wins 74.8% of the time by this model. Ceramica Cleopatra's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 61.5%. Scorelines above 8%: 5. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +25 and +171. Its point estimate is 0-1. The underlying goal expectation is 0.66 for Smouha SC, 1.01 for Ceramica Cleopatra. Spread across the three results is 23.6 points. The leading outcome clears the second by 22.8 points.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Ceramica Cleopatra beat Smouha SC 2-0 on 8 September 2026. Samir El Eraki opened the scoring 49 minutes into the game for Ceramica Cleopatra, set up by Ahmed Belhadji, to make it 1-0. Hussein El Sayed added to the tally 57 minutes into the game for Ceramica Cleopatra to make it 2-0. Ahmed Ramadan (14'), Pape Abasse Badji (14'), Samir Fekri (19') and Kone Mohamed (49') were booked. Ceramica Cleopatra's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins.