The head-to-head counts 8 recorded meetings since 2022: 2 to Ceramica Cleopatra, 4 to Future FC, 2 drawn, 10-11 on aggregate. Most recently 2025, 2-0 in comp-apf-EGY. Today those sides rate 1671 and 1495, 176 apart, which resolves to 70.3% / 19.5% / 10.2%.
By expected share of the points: 80.0% and 20.0%. The tie closed out 2-0. The home side is rated higher. The leading outcome clears the second by 50.8 points. Of the individual scorelines, 1-0 carries the most weight at 21.4% — 0-0 is next at 20.1%. 70.3% goes to Ceramica Cleopatra, the model's lean. Outcomes span 60.1 points. Attack/defence pairs: 0.97/0.74 and 0.54/0.74. The ratings draw on 187 and 160 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. Ratings sit 176 apart. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. Expected goals come out at 1.06 to 0.54. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read +171 and -5. A decisive result carries 80.5% against 19.5% for the draw. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Neither side holds both halves — Ceramica Cleopatra scores at 0.97, Future FC concedes at 0.74. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Ceramica Cleopatra beat Future FC 2-0 on 2 September 2026. Sodiq Ougola opened the scoring inside the first 6 minutes for Ceramica Cleopatra, set up by Mohamed Reda, to make it 1-0. Ahmed Belhadji added to the tally 63 minutes into the game for Ceramica Cleopatra to make it 2-0. Mohamed Sabry (23'), Ahmed Ramadan (42'), Samir El Eraki (60'), A. Benhachem (75') and Ghanam Mohamed (80') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Ceramica Cleopatra 176 points stronger than Future FC. On current ratings the model favours Ceramica Cleopatra at 70.3% in this pairing, and Ceramica Cleopatra won this one. Ceramica Cleopatra's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins.