On file: 2 previous meetings dating to 2014, 2-3 on goals. Last time: 2014, 1-2 in comp-apf-EGY. History aside, the live ratings of 1603 and 1460 drive a 66.4% / 20.7% / 12.9% distribution.
The single-scoreline output is 1-0. The three results cover 53.5 points. Both components point the same way, toward Wadi Degla: 1.00 to 0.63 going forward, 0.68 to 0.98 going back. Wadi Degla leads the distribution by 45.7 points over the draw. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +103 and -40. Raw profiles are 1.00 and 0.68 against 0.63 and 0.98. The higher rating belongs to the home side. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 19.0%, clear of 2-0 on 13.9%. With 324 and 20 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The match finished 0-0. By expected share of the points: 76.8% and 23.2%. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 143 points. 79.3% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The xG line reads 1.46 to 0.58. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Wadi Degla carries the largest share, 66.4%.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Wadi Degla and Olympic El Qanah could not be separated in a goalless draw at Petrosport Stadium, Cairo on 1 September 2026. A. Ayman (22'), H. Hassan (38'), M. Abdelaati (45'), M. Shaaban (90') and O. Adly (91') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Wadi Degla 143 points stronger than Olympic El Qanah.