On record: 16 meetings from 2016, 18-20 on aggregate, 5 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 0-2 in comp-apf-EGY. The live ratings are 1473 and 1517, giving 39.5% / 27.2% / 33.3%.
xG: 0.55 to 0.74. 72.8% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at -27 and +17. El Geish holds a 6.2-point edge on the next outcome. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. The split is one apiece: El Mokawloon leads the attacking rate on 0.77, El Geish the defensive on 0.72. Played and finished 1-0. Attack/defence pairs: 0.49/0.72 and 0.77/0.74. 0-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 27.6%. A 12.3-point range top to bottom. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. The higher rating belongs to the away side. The ratings draw on 454 and 270 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. Elo expected shares: 53.0% and 47.0%. Distance between the ratings: 44 points, moderate on this scale. Point estimate: 0-0. The model's preferred outcome is El Geish at 39.5%.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
El Geish edged past El Mokawloon 1-0 on 22 August 2026. A. Alaa opened the scoring 70 minutes into the game for El Geish to make it 1-0. M. Gaber (33') and (92') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make El Mokawloon slightly the stronger side, by 44 rating points over El Geish, even though it was El Geish who won this one.