Across 25 recorded meetings back to 2012 the split is 20-3-2 in Zamalek SC's favour on wins, 44-12 on goals. The last was 2026, 1-0 in comp-apf-EGY. The live ratings are 1789 and 1486, giving 81.7% / 15.1% / 3.2%.
Result on the day: 0-0. A decisive result carries 84.9% against 15.1% for the draw. The underlying goal expectation is 1.26 for Zamalek SC, 0.49 for Al Ittihad. Behind them are 487 and 453 rated matches. In absolute terms: Zamalek SC 1.08/0.52, Al Ittihad 0.70/0.79 on attack and defence. Zamalek SC leads the distribution by 66.6 points over the draw. Of the individual scorelines, 1-0 carries the most weight at 21.9% — 0-0 is next at 17.4%. Top of the distribution: Zamalek SC, 81.7%. Most and least likely outcomes are 78.5 points apart. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +289 and -14. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 89.3% to 10.7%. Distance between the ratings: 303 points, wide on this scale. Its rounded call is 1-0. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Neither component contradicts the other: Zamalek SC leads 1.08-0.70 forward and 0.52-0.79 back.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
Zamalek SC and Al Ittihad could not be separated in a goalless draw at Cairo International Stadium, Cairo on 21 August 2026. K. Semakula (39') was booked. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have Zamalek SC 303 points stronger than Al Ittihad. Zamalek SC's current recorded form ends with 6 consecutive wins in Egyptian Premier League 2025/26, Egyptian Premier League 2026/27 and CAF Champions League 2026/27.