14 meetings sit in the record, first in 2017, aggregate 19-12. The latest was 2025, 3-0 in Algeria Ligue 1. The present numbers are 1640 against 1455, and the model turns that into 71.2% / 19.3% / 9.6%.
Higher rating: the home side. Neither side holds both halves — CS Constantine scores at 0.89, US Biskra concedes at 0.86. Expected shares 80.8% against 19.2% on Elo. CS Constantine carries the largest share, 71.2%. The ratings draw on 456 and 214 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. The distribution runs from 71.2% down to 9.6%. The distribution peaks at 1-0, 26.0%, with 0-0 behind it at 22.8%. CS Constantine sits 51.9 points above the next most likely result. Scorelines above 8%: 4. Goal expectation splits 1.14 to 0.34. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read +140 and -45. The rating gap itself is 185 points, which is wide by the model's standards. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. It ended 4-0. 80.8% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. Raw profiles are 0.89 and 0.87 against 0.29 and 0.86.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
CS Constantine: one win, two draws and two defeats over five games; eight goals scored, 11 conceded. ES Setif were their latest opponents, away on 19 September: a 5-1 defeat; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to ASO Chlef on 12 September.
1-5 was CS Constantine's result against ES Setif on 19 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; CS Constantine lost, with one scored to five conceded. The 12 September fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired CS Constantine with ASO Chlef. CS Constantine won 3-0 at home, netting three goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Témouchent (Algeria Ligue 1), CS Constantine finished 1-1 on 5 September. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 5 June: CS Constantine lost 1-3 against JS Saoura away from home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring one goal and allowing three. Against Khenchela in Algeria Ligue 1, CS Constantine scored two and conceded two on 19 May; the at home result was 2-2.
US Biskra arrived without a win in their last five outings, recording two draws and three defeats, scoring three goals and conceding six, failing to score in three of those games. A 0-0 draw at home to JS Saoura (22 September) was their most recent result.
US Biskra's at home game on 22 September (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 0-0 against JS Saoura, with zero goals for and zero against. On 17 September, CR Belouizdad faced US Biskra in Algeria Ligue 1: US Biskra lost 0-1 at home, having scored zero and conceded one. Algeria Ligue 1, 10 September brought an away meeting with Ben Aknoun; US Biskra drew 2-2, a return of two goals scored and two conceded. US Biskra visited ES Setif on 20 June 2025 (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. Khenchela travelled to face US Biskra (Algeria Ligue 1) on 16 June 2025. For US Biskra, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed.
Earlier results between these sides included a 3-0 home win for CS Constantine on 18 May 2025 and a 1-1 draw at US Biskra on 2 December 2024.
After the match
CS Constantine overwhelmed US Biskra 4-0 on 7 October 2026. Y. Agbagno opened the scoring in the 37th minute for CS Constantine, set up by A. Lahmeri, to make it 1-0. M. Barka (an own goal) added to the tally 51 minutes into the game for CS Constantine to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, CS Constantine extended the lead through M. Rebiai 56 minutes into the game to make it 3-0. H. Djaouchi scored the 4th goal for CS Constantine 73 minutes into the game as they extended the lead to make it 4-0. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have CS Constantine 185 points stronger than US Biskra. 71.2% is CS Constantine's winning probability here from current model ratings, alongside their recorded victory. On current ratings the model puts CS Constantine at around 1.14 gols in this pairing; they scored 4 here. five changes were recorded for CS Constantine. US Biskra made five changes. A clean sheet for CS Constantine.