2 meetings sit in the record, first in 2025, aggregate 1-2. The latest was 2026, 1-1 in comp-apf-DZA. Currently 1755 against 1547 — a 73.6% / 18.4% / 8.0% split.
A decisive result carries 81.6% against 18.4% for the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.36 to 0.57. Neither figure is thin: 475 and 30 matches respectively sit behind them. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read +255 and +47. What is quoted is today's rating, not the figure carried into kickoff. The match finished 2-0. MC Alger leads the distribution by 55.2 points over the draw. MC Alger's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 82.8%. 73.6% goes to MC Alger, the model's lean. Ratings sit 208 apart. The four component numbers read 1.01, 0.55, 0.78, 0.91. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. Between best and worst outcome there is 65.6 points of daylight. The higher rating belongs to the home side. Scorelines above 8%: 5. MC Alger holds both halves of the profile — 1.01 against 0.78 for scoring, 0.55 against 0.91 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
MC Alger beat MB Rouisset 2-0 on 18 September 2026. C. Boukholda opened the scoring inside the first 7 minutes for MC Alger to make it 1-0. M. Nduwumwe added to the tally 61 minutes into the game for MC Alger to make it 2-0. M. Moluh Mounta (51'), Z. Benabda (65'), C. Boukholda (66'), (86') and (88') were booked. On current ratings the model favours MC Alger at 73.6% in this pairing, and MC Alger won this one. MC Alger are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in Algeria Ligue 1 2025/26, CAF Champions League 2026/27 and Algeria Ligue 1 2026/27. MC Alger won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.