On record: 14 meetings from 2017, 8-19 on aggregate, 5 drawn. Their most recent was 2025, 0-2 in comp-apf-DZA. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1455 and 1768 — 313 points — for a 9.7% / 19.3% / 71.0% split.
Most and least likely outcomes are 61.3 points apart. 313 points of rating separation. In absolute terms: US Biskra 0.29/0.86, CR Belouizdad 1.21/0.57 on attack and defence. Point estimate: 0-1. Most weight falls on 0-1 at 27.0%. CR Belouizdad is ahead on each half — 1.21 to 0.29 in attack, 0.57 to 0.86 in defence. Scorelines above 8%: 4. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. Expected shares 19.3% against 80.7% on Elo. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -45 and +268. The tie closed out 0-1. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Neither figure is thin: 214 and 497 matches respectively sit behind them. First to second is a 51.7-point step, CR Belouizdad over the draw. 71.0% goes to CR Belouizdad, the model's lean. Win-or-lose totals 80.7%; the draw takes the rest. Expected goals come out at 0.24 to 1.41.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
CR Belouizdad edged past US Biskra 1-0 on 17 September 2026. CR Belouizdad opened the scoring 78 minutes into the game for CR Belouizdad to make it 1-0. S. Bouchar (68') was booked. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have CR Belouizdad 313 points stronger than US Biskra. On current ratings the model favours CR Belouizdad at 71% in this pairing, and CR Belouizdad won this one. CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in the latest 7 matches of their recorded form.