On file: 2 previous meetings dating to 2025, 2-3 on goals. Last time: 2026, 1-1 in comp-apf-DZA. The present numbers are 1547 against 1617, and the model turns that into 35.4% / 27.8% / 36.8%.
Raw profiles are 0.78 and 0.91 against 0.74 and 0.74. Scorelines above 8%: 4. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. A 1.4-point gap between the top two is inside the noise. 36.8% goes to Olympique Akbou, the model's lean. Sample sizes behind the two numbers are 30 and 60 matches. The edge is split: MB Rouisset scores at the higher rate (0.78 to 0.74), Olympique Akbou concedes at the lower (0.74 to 0.91). A 9.0-point range covers every outcome here. The underlying goal expectation is 0.86 for MB Rouisset, 0.91 for Olympique Akbou. The single-scoreline output is 0-0. Final score: 2-0. Versus the 1500 seed: +47 and +117. The model gives 72.2% to someone winning. The higher rating expects 50.7% of the points, the lower 49.3%. Rating separation comes to 70 points. Most weight falls on 0-0 at 17.1%. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
MB Rouisset beat Olympique Akbou 2-0 on 12 September 2026. A. El Orfi opened the scoring 57 minutes into the game for MB Rouisset to make it 1-0. MB Rouisset added to the tally in the 95th minute for MB Rouisset to make it 2-0. 8 players were booked, among them M. Sediri (22'), W. Zamoum (58'), Y. Yesli (58'), M. Midoune (59'), A. Belharrane (75') and M. Sy (79'). Our current Elo ratings make Olympique Akbou slightly the stronger side, by 70 rating points over MB Rouisset, even though it was MB Rouisset who won this one. MB Rouisset won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.