On record: 29 meetings from 2011, 31-28 on aggregate, 7 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 1-3 in comp-apf-DZA. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1768 and 1630 — 138 points — for a 65.9% / 20.9% / 13.2% split.
CR Belouizdad is ahead on each half — 1.21 to 0.85 in attack, 0.57 to 0.83 in defence. CR Belouizdad sits 45.0 points above the next most likely result. 79.1% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Its rounded call is 1-0. Higher rating: the home side. xG: 1.49 to 0.65. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Ratings sit 138 apart. Outcomes span 52.7 points. The ratings draw on 497 and 468 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. Top of the distribution: CR Belouizdad, 65.9%. The distribution peaks at 1-0, 17.5%, with 2-0 behind it at 13.0%. Played and finished 1-0. CR Belouizdad's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 76.3%. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +268 and +130. Raw profiles are 1.21 and 0.57 against 0.85 and 0.83.
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.
Match Report
CR Belouizdad edged past ES Setif 1-0 at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers on 11 September 2026. CR Belouizdad opened the scoring late on, in the 82nd minute for CR Belouizdad to make it 1-0. M. Salifu (38') was booked. On current ratings the model favours CR Belouizdad at 65.9% in this pairing, and CR Belouizdad won this one. CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in the latest 7 matches of their recorded form.