The head-to-head counts 21 recorded meetings since 2011: 7 to CS Constantine, 6 to ASO Chlef, 8 drawn, 27-23 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 2-0 in comp-apf-DZA. Against that, current ratings read 1640 and 1568, a 72-point margin, and the model splits the tie 57.0% / 23.2% / 19.7%.
76.7% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The home side is rated higher. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +140 and +68. The gap between first and second outcome is 33.8 points, CS Constantine ahead of the draw. With 456 and 333 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The four component numbers read 0.89, 0.87, 0.63, 0.81. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Between best and worst outcome there is 37.3 points of daylight. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. The edge is split: CS Constantine scores at the higher rate (0.89 to 0.63), ASO Chlef concedes at the lower (0.81 to 0.87). The xG line reads 1.07 to 0.74. The match finished 3-0. Most likely single result is CS Constantine on 57.0%.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
CS Constantine comfortably beat ASO Chlef 3-0 on 12 September 2026. A. Chikhi opened the scoring in the 31st minute for CS Constantine to make it 1-0. Y. Agbagno added to the tally 53 minutes into the game for CS Constantine to make it 2-0. K. Chaban added to the tally late on, in the 84th minute for CS Constantine to make it 3-0. I. Moussa (17'), (46') and E. Ledlum (51') were booked. On current ratings the model favours CS Constantine at 57% in this pairing, and CS Constantine won this one.