Across 2 recorded meetings back to 2026 the split is 0-2-0 from JS Kabylie's side on wins, 2-2 on goals. The last was 2026, 1-1 in comp-apf-DZA. Against that, current ratings read 1700 and 1547, a 153-point margin, and the model splits the tie 67.7% / 20.4% / 12.0%.
Someone wins 79.7% of the time by this model. The model's preferred outcome is JS Kabylie at 67.7%. JS Kabylie is ahead on each half — 1.01 to 0.78 in attack, 0.77 to 0.91 in defence. A 153-point difference on the rating scale. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Spread across the three results is 55.7 points. JS Kabylie sits 47.3 points above the next most likely result. Elo expected shares: 77.8% and 22.2%. Rounding the goal expectations gives a predicted 1-0. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 15.6%, clear of 1-1 on 12.5%. Both figures rest on decent samples, 486 and 30 matches. The xG line reads 1.37 to 0.81. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. The match finished 1-0. Higher rating: the home side. In absolute terms: JS Kabylie 1.01/0.77, MB Rouisset 0.78/0.91 on attack and defence.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
JS Kabylie edged past MB Rouisset 1-0 on 4 September 2026. A. Belhocini opened the scoring in the 36th minute for JS Kabylie to make it 1-0. H. Salem (50') was sent off. B. Messaoudi (58'), I. Tichtich (74'), (79') and Z. Benabda (79') were booked. On current ratings the model favours JS Kabylie at 67.7% in this pairing, and JS Kabylie won this one. JS Kabylie won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.