22 meetings sit in the record, first in 2011, aggregate 20-32. The latest was 2026, 1-2 in comp-apf-DZA. Currently 1568 against 1768 — a 19.9% / 23.3% / 56.8% split.
Its rounded call is 0-1. Neither component contradicts the other: CR Belouizdad leads 1.21-0.63 forward and 0.57-0.81 back. On expected goals the model has it 0.53 against 1.32. Neither figure is thin: 333 and 497 matches respectively sit behind them. The higher-rated side expects 68.5% of the points; the other side 31.5%. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Played and finished 3-3. CR Belouizdad holds a 33.5-point edge on the next outcome. Between best and worst outcome there is 36.9 points of daylight. 56.8% goes to CR Belouizdad, the model's lean. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. 200 points of rating separation. In absolute terms: ASO Chlef 0.63/0.81, CR Belouizdad 1.21/0.57 on attack and defence. Someone wins 76.7% of the time by this model. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +68 and +268. 0-1 tops the scoreline distribution on 20.8%.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
ASO Chlef and CR Belouizdad drew 3-3 on 5 September 2026. Z. Motrani opened the scoring inside the first minute for ASO Chlef to make it 1-0. Z. Motrani added to the tally inside the first 6 minutes for ASO Chlef to make it 2-0. D. Kaassis pulled one back inside the first 13 minutes for CR Belouizdad to make it 1-2. A. Debbari (an own goal) levelled it in the 20th minute for CR Belouizdad to make it 2-2. F. Etouga put CR Belouizdad in front in the 42nd minute to make it 3-2. C. Bekkouche levelled it 71 minutes into the game for ASO Chlef to make it 3-3. R. Akacem (58') was booked. CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in the latest 7 matches of their recorded form.