On record: 20 meetings from 2012, 16-19 on aggregate, 6 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 0-0 in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1. Today those sides rate 1492 and 1637, 145 apart, which resolves to 26.1% / 25.2% / 48.7%.
The away side is rated higher. Reduced to one result that is 0-0. Someone wins 74.8% of the time by this model. Expected shares 38.7% against 61.3% on Elo. US Monastirienne carries the largest share, 48.7%. First to second is a 22.6-point step, US Monastirienne over CA Bizertin. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at -8 and +137. Result on the day: 0-0. Expected goals sit at 0.34 against 0.74. The two ratings differ by 145 points. Raw profiles are 0.50 and 0.75 against 0.74 and 0.47. With 391 and 350 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. US Monastirienne holds both halves of the profile — 0.74 against 0.50 for scoring, 0.47 against 0.75 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Spread across the three results is 23.5 points. Of the individual scorelines, 0-0 carries the most weight at 33.7% — 0-1 is next at 25.1%.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
CA Bizertin: two wins, one draw and two defeats over five games; three goals scored, five conceded. CS Sfaxien were their latest opponents, away on 20 September: a 2-0 defeat.
Playing away from home against CS Sfaxien (Tunisia Ligue Pro 1), CA Bizertin finished 0-2 on 20 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition. 5 September: CA Bizertin drew 1-1 against Olympique Béja at home in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against CS Hammam-Lif in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1, CA Bizertin scored one and conceded zero on 30 August; the away from home result was 1-0. CA Bizertin's at home game on 23 August (Tunisia Ligue Pro 1) ended 1-0 against AS Marsa, with one goal for and zero against. On 13 May, ES Zarzis faced CA Bizertin in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1: CA Bizertin lost 0-2 at home, having scored zero and conceded two.
US Monastirienne: three wins and two draws over five games; ten goals scored, five conceded, unbeaten. ES Zarzis were their latest opponents, away on 16 September: a 2-1 win; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to AS Soliman on 14 May.
2-1 was US Monastirienne's result against ES Zarzis on 16 September (Tunisia Ligue Pro 1), playing away from home; US Monastirienne won, with two scored to one conceded. The 12 September fixture (Tunisia Ligue Pro 1) paired US Monastirienne with US Ben Guerdane. US Monastirienne drew 3-3 at home, netting three goals while conceding three. Playing at home against Stade Tunisien (Tunisia Ligue Pro 1), US Monastirienne finished 2-1 on 29 August. Their score comprised two goals, against one from the opposition. 22 August: US Monastirienne drew 0-0 against ES Hammam-Sousse away from home in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against AS Soliman in Tunisia Ligue Pro 1, US Monastirienne scored three and conceded zero on 14 May; the at home result was 3-0.
The last two recorded meetings were a 0-0 draw at CA Bizertin on 28 February and a 1-0 home win for US Monastirienne on 24 September 2025.
After the match
CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne could not be separated in a goalless draw on 10 October 2026. 8 players were booked, among them (49'), (64'), (66'), (68'), (73') and (90'). The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have US Monastirienne 145 points stronger than CA Bizertin. US Monastirienne are unbeaten in the latest 6 matches of their recorded form. The card tally for CA Bizertin was three yellow cards. US Monastirienne picked up five yellow cards. CA Bizertin finished with a clean sheet. US Monastirienne conceded no goals.