On record: 8 meetings from 2012, 11-12 on aggregate, 1 drawn. Their most recent was 2023, 1-2 in comp-apf-TUN. Currently 1467 against 1618 — a 25.5% / 25.0% / 49.5% split.
Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. With 88 and 344 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The single-scoreline output is 0-0. Played and finished 1-3. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. A decisive result carries 75.0% against 25.0% for the draw. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: -33 and +118. Expected shares 37.9% against 62.1% on Elo. Each side owns one half of the argument — ES Hammam-Sousse the scoring rate at 0.70, Stade Tunisien the conceding rate at 0.45. The three results cover 24.5 points. The model's expected-goals figures are 0.47 and 0.79. 151 points separate the two ratings — a wide margin. In absolute terms: ES Hammam-Sousse 0.70/0.95, Stade Tunisien 0.61/0.45 on attack and defence. The leading outcome clears the second by 24.0 points. 0-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 28.4%.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Stade Tunisien beat ES Hammam-Sousse 3-1 on 12 September 2026. (36'), (47'), (78') and (84') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Stade Tunisien 151 points stronger than ES Hammam-Sousse. On current ratings the model puts Stade Tunisien at around 0.79 goals in this pairing; they scored 3 here.