Match Report
AS Marsa edged past ES Sahel 1-0 on 12 September 2026. N. Mani opened the scoring in the 23rd minute for AS Marsa to make it 1-0. (50'), (95'), (95') and (95') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make ES Sahel clearly the stronger side, by 130 rating points over AS Marsa, even though it was AS Marsa who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives AS Marsa only a 28% chance in this pairing, less than one in three. AS Marsa won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 2 meetings without a win.