Match Report
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane beat ES Tunis 3-1 on 30 August 2026. M. Ben Ali (63') was sent off. (20'), (30'), (39'), (39'), (46') and (56') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make ES Tunis clearly the stronger side, by 322 rating points over Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, even though it was Jeunesse Sportive Omrane who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Jeunesse Sportive Omrane only a 9.1% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. On current ratings the model puts Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at around 0.4 goals in this pairing; they scored 3 here. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 4 meetings without a win.