4 meetings sit in the record, first in 2024, aggregate 8-4. The latest was 2026, 2-0 in comp-apf-SPL. Currently 1455 against 1473 — a 43.5% / 26.4% / 30.1% split.
Scorelines above 8%: 3. The match finished 2-0. 43.5% goes to Al Riyadh, the model's lean. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. The rating gap itself is 18 points, which is narrow by the model's standards. The away side is rated higher. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read -45 and -27. Sample sizes behind the two numbers are 102 and 68 matches. Win-or-lose totals 73.6%; the draw takes the rest. Attack/defence pairs: 0.80/1.26 and 0.73/1.27. Expected goals 1.51-1.24. The distribution runs from 43.5% down to 26.4%. 1-1 leads the scorelines at 12.0% — not a strong call. Rounded, that is 1-1. Expected shares 56.7% against 43.3% on Elo. Al Riyadh is ahead on each half — 0.80 to 0.73 in attack, 1.26 to 1.27 in defence. The gap between first and second outcome is 13.4 points, Al Riyadh ahead of Al Kholood.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Al Riyadh beat Al Kholood 2-0 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh on 13 September 2026. Kader Keita opened the scoring 65 minutes into the game for Al Riyadh, set up by Sulaiman Hazazi, to make it 1-0. Rodrigo Abascal added to the tally late on, in the 89th minute for Al Riyadh to make it 2-0. John Buckley (16'), Kader Keita (36'), Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri (50') and Yaseen Al-Zubaidi (88') were booked. Our current Elo ratings have the two sides almost level, Al Kholood just 18 rating points ahead of Al Riyadh, so on those numbers there is little to choose between them.