6 meetings sit in the record, first in 2018, aggregate 6-6. The latest was 2022, 1-0 in comp-apf-SPL. The live ratings are 1530 and 1498, giving 51.4% / 24.6% / 24.0%.
xG: 1.13 to 0.92. Versus the 1500 seed: +30 and -2. The two ratings differ by 32 points. Between them, the home side holds the higher rating. The four component numbers read 0.62, 0.79, 0.86, 1.22. Final score: 0-0. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 0.86 to 0.62 says Al-Hazm, 0.79 to 1.22 says Al-Faisaly FC. Behind them are 179 and 158 rated matches. Win-or-lose totals 75.4%; the draw takes the rest. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-0 on 14.6%. As a single number the model says 1-0. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. The model's preferred outcome is Al-Faisaly FC at 51.4%. A 27.4-point range top to bottom. The gap between first and second outcome is 26.8 points, Al-Faisaly FC ahead of the draw. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Expected shares 63.6% against 36.4% on Elo.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Hazm could not be separated in a goalless draw on 5 September 2026. 7 players were booked, among them Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti (2'), Bonheur Mugisha (39'), Mory Konate (44'), Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida (48'), Mohammed Jahfali (50') and Ahmed Al-Nakhli (74').