Match Report
Al Kholood beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 on 29 August 2026. Hamed Al-Shanqity (35'), Ivan Toney (43') and Mansour Camara (76') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Al-Ahli Jeddah clearly the stronger side, by 432 rating points over Al Kholood, even though it was Al Kholood who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Al Kholood only a 3.2% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. On current ratings the model puts Al Kholood at around 0.63 goals in this pairing; they scored 3 here.