Across 28 recorded meetings back to 2011 the split is 6-2-20 from Qatar SC's side on wins, 29-69 on goals. The last was 2026, 2-3 in comp-apf-QSL. The live ratings are 1465 and 1689, giving 17.3% / 22.4% / 60.3%.
These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. No scoreline clear 8% individually. By expected share of the points: 28.6% and 71.4%. Rating separation comes to 224 points. A decisive result carries 77.6% against 22.4% for the draw. The away side is rated higher. In absolute terms: Qatar SC 1.09/1.21, Al Sadd 1.82/1.24 on attack and defence. Measured from the model's 1500 starting point, the two ratings read -35 and +189. The model's preferred outcome is Al Sadd at 60.3%. The tie closed out 2-6. No scoreline stands out; 2-2 only leads on 6.1%. The leading outcome clears the second by 37.9 points. Expected goals sit at 2.01 against 2.98. Reduced to one result that is 2-2. Most and least likely outcomes are 43.0 points apart. Neither figure is thin: 320 and 418 matches respectively sit behind them. The split is one apiece: Al Sadd leads the attacking rate on 1.82, Qatar SC the defensive on 1.21.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
Al Sadd overwhelmed Qatar SC 6-2 on 28 August 2026. A. Addai (6'), Joao Pedro (73') and E. Palangi (80') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Al Sadd 224 points stronger than Qatar SC. 2 goals came after the 80th minute. On current ratings the model favours Al Sadd at 60.3% in this pairing, and Al Sadd won this one. On current ratings the model puts Al Sadd at around 2.98 goals in this pairing; they scored 6 here.