8 meetings sit in the record, first in 2011, aggregate 10-15. The latest was 2026, 0-3 in Süper Lig. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1629 and 1707 — 78 points — for a 34.4% / 27.6% / 38.1% split.
The ratings draw on 142 and 544 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. Note the ratings are live, not frozen at kickoff. A 10.5-point range covers every outcome here. Final score: 0-3. Trabzonspor holds both halves of the profile — 1.24 against 1.12 for scoring, 0.93 against 1.05 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Ratings sit 78 apart. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Its point estimate is 1-1. Raw profiles are 1.12 and 1.05 against 1.24 and 0.93. A decisive result carries 72.5% against 27.6% for the draw. Trabzonspor carries the largest share, 38.1%. The top two outcomes are within 3.7 points of each other, which is inside the range where the model is not really choosing. On expected goals the model has it 1.54 against 1.75. Scorelines above 8%: 2. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +129 and +207.
Numbers from our own elo-poisson-v1 model, not a third-party stat feed. Analysis only.
Match Report
Before the match
Samsunspor came into the game with one win and four defeats from their last five outings, scoring three goals and conceding nine, failing to score in three of those games. On 20 September, Samsunspor recorded a 1-0 defeat visiting Erzurumspor FK.
Süper Lig, 20 September brought an away meeting with Erzurumspor FK; Samsunspor lost 0-1, a return of zero goals scored and one conceded. Samsunspor hosted Çorum FK on 12 September (Süper Lig) and lost 1-5; their goals totalled one, compared with five conceded. Kocaelispor hosted Samsunspor (Süper Lig) on 6 September. For Samsunspor, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed. 0-2 was Samsunspor's result against Fenerbahçe on 30 August (Süper Lig), playing at home; Samsunspor lost, with zero scored to two conceded. The 22 August fixture (Süper Lig) paired Samsunspor with Rizespor. Samsunspor won 2-0 away from home, netting two goals while conceding zero.
12 goals for and four against accompanied Trabzonspor's three wins and two defeats across five outings. On 19 September, Trabzonspor recorded a 4-0 win hosting Galatasaray; their biggest win in that spell was 5-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği S.K. on 6 September.
Trabzonspor's at home game on 19 September (Süper Lig) ended 4-0 against Galatasaray, with four goals for and zero against. On 12 September, Konyaspor faced Trabzonspor in Süper Lig: Trabzonspor lost 0-1 away from home, having scored zero and conceded one. Süper Lig, 6 September brought a home meeting with Gençlerbirliği S.K.; Trabzonspor won 5-0, a return of five goals scored and zero conceded. Trabzonspor visited Amed on 31 August (Süper Lig) and lost 1-2; their goals totalled one, compared with two conceded. Başakşehir travelled to face Trabzonspor (Süper Lig) on 23 August. For Trabzonspor, the score was 2-1: two goals scored, one allowed.
Earlier results between these sides included a 3-0 away win for Trabzonspor on 7 February and a 1-1 draw at Trabzonspor on 31 August 2025.
After the match
Trabzonspor comfortably beat Samsunspor 3-0 at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun on 10 October 2026. E. Muci opened the scoring in the 28th minute for Trabzonspor, set up by M. Eskihellac, to make it 1-0. C. Nwaiwu added to the tally in the 39th minute for Trabzonspor to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Trabzonspor extended the lead through Franculino in the 40th minute, set up by M. Salah, to make it 3-0. M. Kabasakal (43') was sent off. L. Tomasson (7'), T. Fink (41') and E. Watt (44') were booked. All the scoring was done by half time. Samsunspor's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive defeats. Samsunspor picked up three yellow cards. The substitution total for Samsunspor was five. Trabzonspor: one red card. Trabzonspor made five changes. Trabzonspor finished with a clean sheet.