Match Report
Gençlerbirliği S.K. edged past Göztepe 1-0 on 23 August 2026. S. Koita opened the scoring 51 minutes into the game for Gençlerbirliği S.K., set up by O. Ulgun, to make it 1-0. A. Matos (43'), D. Goutas (48') and C. Niasse (79') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Göztepe clearly the stronger side, by 129 rating points over Gençlerbirliği S.K., even though it was Gençlerbirliği S.K. who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Gençlerbirliği S.K. only a 14% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.51 to 1.02.