Match Report
Alanyaspor edged past Beşiktaş 1-0 on 23 August 2026. N. Lima opened the scoring 73 minutes into the game for Alanyaspor, set up by F. Hadergjonaj, to make it 1-0. Our current Elo ratings make Beşiktaş clearly the stronger side, by 157 rating points over Alanyaspor, even though it was Alanyaspor who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Alanyaspor only a 24.7% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 0.29 to 0.54.