Maghreb Fès rates 1707 to Kawkab Marrakech's 1556 — 151 points. Split: 25.4% / 25.0% / 49.7%.
Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +56 and +207. 49.7% goes to Maghreb Fès, the model's lean. The ratings draw on 120 and 180 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. 0-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 24.7%. The four component numbers read 0.70, 0.70, 0.93, 0.51. Outcomes span 24.7 points. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Maghreb Fès leads the distribution by 24.3 points over Kawkab Marrakech. Point estimate: 0-0. Result on the day: 0-0. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 151 points. Someone wins 75.1% of the time by this model. The underlying goal expectation is 0.53 for Kawkab Marrakech, 0.87 for Maghreb Fès. Maghreb Fès is ahead on each half — 0.93 to 0.70 in attack, 0.51 to 0.70 in defence. The record shows a single previous meeting, 2026, 1-1 in comp-apf-BOT; not enough to lean on. The higher-rated side expects 62.1% of the points; the other side 37.9%.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Kawkab Marrakech and Maghreb Fès could not be separated in a goalless draw at Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech on 2 July 2026. Kawkab Marrakech are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form. Maghreb Fès are unbeaten in the latest 6 matches of their recorded form in Botola Pro 2025/26, Botola Pro 2026/27 and CAF Champions League 2026/27.