On record: 3 meetings from 2024, 2-9 on aggregate, 1 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 0-3 in comp-apf-BOT. The live ratings are 1507 and 1766, giving 14.0% / 21.2% / 64.8%.
Top of the distribution: FAR Rabat, 64.8%. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +7 and +266. Raw profiles are 0.67 and 1.00 against 0.99 and 0.69. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Outcomes span 50.8 points. Someone wins 78.8% of the time by this model. The single-scoreline output is 0-1. By expected share of the points: 24.7% and 75.3%. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. 0-1 tops the scoreline distribution on 17.7%. With 60 and 320 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. The match finished 3-2. The gap between first and second outcome is 43.6 points, FAR Rabat ahead of the draw. Scorelines above 8%: 5. FAR Rabat holds both halves of the profile — 0.99 against 0.67 for scoring, 0.69 against 1.00 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Expected goals 0.69-1.33. Distance between the ratings: 259 points, wide on this scale.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
CODM Meknès edged past FAR Rabat 3-2 on 2 July 2026. Reda Bounaga (27') was booked. Our current Elo ratings make FAR Rabat clearly the stronger side, by 259 rating points over CODM Meknès, even though it was CODM Meknès who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives CODM Meknès only a 14% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. On current ratings the model puts CODM Meknès at around 0.69 goals in this pairing; they scored 3 here. CODM Meknès won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 3 meetings without a win.