Match Report
Atlanta United FC edged past Portland Timbers 1-0 on 20 September 2026. A. Miranchuk opened the scoring in the 28th minute for Atlanta United FC to make it 1-0. D. Chara (25'), J. Waterman (47') and Giuliano Galoppo (47') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Portland Timbers slightly the stronger side, by 61 rating points over Atlanta United FC, even though it was Atlanta United FC who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Atlanta United FC only a 20.8% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.13 to 0.49.