Match Report
New York Red Bulls edged past New York City FC 1-0 on 18 September 2026. J. Hall opened the scoring 57 minutes into the game for New York Red Bulls to make it 1-0. A. Mehmeti (6'), C. Cowell (22'), N. Cavallo (30'), M. Sofo (40') and A. O'Neill (55') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make New York City FC slightly the stronger side, by 51 rating points over New York Red Bulls, even though it was New York Red Bulls who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives New York Red Bulls only a 21.9% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes.