On record: 39 meetings from 2012, 44-74 on aggregate, 6 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 1-2 in comp-apf-MLS. Today those sides rate 1464 and 1433, 31 apart, which resolves to 51.1% / 24.7% / 24.3%.
The four component numbers read 0.94, 1.07, 0.91, 1.27. It ended 1-0. The higher rating belongs to the home side. The higher-rated side expects 63.5% of the points; the other side 36.5%. Colorado Rapids holds both halves of the profile — 0.94 against 0.91 for scoring, 1.07 against 1.27 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. What is quoted is today's rating, not the figure carried into kickoff. 1-1 leads the scorelines at 10.6% — not a strong call. Most likely single result is Colorado Rapids on 51.1%. Colorado Rapids holds a 26.4-point edge on the next outcome. Expected goals come out at 1.77 to 1.32. Logged in advance of kickoff — 37.5% / 27.7% / 34.8%. It landed. Point estimate: 1-1. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at -36 and -67. Someone wins 75.4% of the time by this model. Most and least likely outcomes are 26.8 points apart. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 500 and 522 rated matches respectively.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Colorado Rapids edged past Real Salt Lake 1-0 on 30 August 2026. R. Cannon opened the scoring 58 minutes into the game for Colorado Rapids, set up by Y. Maziz, to make it 1-0. 8 players were booked, among them H. Ojediran (14'), R. Holding (49'), A. Hezarkhani (54'), M. Guilavogui (61'), N. Caliskan (67') and C. Guske (80'). Real Salt Lake's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive defeats in Major League Soccer 2026.