31 meetings sit in the record, first in 2012, aggregate 43-51. The latest was 2026, 2-2 in comp-apf-MLS. Today those sides rate 1497 and 1581, 84 apart, which resolves to 33.6% / 27.3% / 39.1%.
Attack/defence pairs: 0.99/1.16 and 1.33/1.21. It ended 0-0. The split is one apiece: FC Dallas leads the attacking rate on 1.33, Los Angeles Galaxy the defensive on 1.16. The higher rating expects 52.7% of the points, the lower 47.3%. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 526 and 518 rated matches respectively. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. 1 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The three outcomes sit within 11.8 points of each other — an unusually flat distribution. 39.1% goes to FC Dallas, the model's lean. FC Dallas sits 5.5 points above the next most likely result. A decisive result carries 72.7% against 27.3% for the draw. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 1-2. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at -3 and +81. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-2 at 8.1%. Higher rating: the away side. Recorded ahead of kickoff: 33.7% / 27.4% / 39.0%. The result went the other way.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas could not be separated in a goalless draw on 2 August 2026. P. Delgado (4'), C. Cappis (31'), Kaick (35'), J. Glesnes (53'), N. Norris (63') and J. Nelson (86') were booked. FC Dallas are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in Major League Soccer 2026.