Match Report
Orlando City SC edged past Nashville SC 1-0 on 25 July 2026. T. Spicer opened the scoring 72 minutes into the game for Orlando City SC, set up by J. Ellis, to make it 1-0. Tiago (20') was booked. Our current Elo ratings make Nashville SC clearly the stronger side, by 174 rating points over Orlando City SC, even though it was Orlando City SC who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives Orlando City SC only a 22.7% chance in this pairing, the least likely of the three outcomes.