28 meetings sit in the record, first in 2015, aggregate 46-50. The latest was 2026, 0-3 in comp-apf-MLS. History aside, the live ratings of 1481 and 1520 drive a 40.2% / 27.1% / 32.7% distribution.
With 532 and 425 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. A decisive result carries 72.9% against 27.1% for the draw. Played and finished 1-2. Goal expectation splits 1.64 to 1.59. Scorelines above 8%: 3. Top of the distribution: Columbus Crew, 40.2%. Columbus Crew holds a 7.5-point edge on the next outcome. 39 points of rating separation. By expected share of the points: 53.7% and 46.3%. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. A 13.1-point range top to bottom. One half each — Columbus Crew in front on 1.16, New York City FC behind on 0.95. In absolute terms: Columbus Crew 1.16/1.20, New York City FC 0.98/0.95 on attack and defence. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. Its rounded call is 1-1. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 10.3%. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -19 and +20.
Numbers from our own elo-poisson-v1 model, not a third-party stat feed. Analysis only.
Match Report
New York City FC edged past Columbus Crew 2-1 on 22 July 2026. T. Gray (40'), J. Thiare (57'), M. Arfsten (60') and T. Habroune (82') were booked.