Match Report
FC Cincinnati edged past Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3 on 22 July 2026. P. Bucha opened the scoring inside the first 9 minutes for FC Cincinnati, set up by S. Gidi, to make it 1-0. J. Badwal levelled it inside the first 12 minutes for Vancouver Whitecaps, set up by B. Caicedo, to make it 1-1. R. Gauld put Vancouver Whitecaps in front in the 25th minute, set up by O. Larraz, to make it 2-1. K. Denkey levelled it in the 28th minute for FC Cincinnati, set up by E. Echenique, to make it 2-2. FC Cincinnati regained the lead through Evander in the 36th minute, set up by G. Valenzuela, to make it 3-2. P. Bucha added to the tally 56 minutes into the game for FC Cincinnati, set up by Evander, to make it 4-2. R. Gauld pulled one back 58 minutes into the game for Vancouver Whitecaps, set up by J. Badwal, to make it 3-4. T. Blackmon (2'), M. Laborda (17'), P. Bucha (41'), E. Ocampo (48'), A. Cubas (59') and B. White (78') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make Vancouver Whitecaps clearly the stronger side, by 135 rating points over FC Cincinnati, even though it was FC Cincinnati who won this one. On current ratings our Elo-Poisson model gives FC Cincinnati only a 27.4% chance in this pairing, less than one in three. On current ratings the model puts FC Cincinnati at around 1.49 goals in this pairing; they scored 4 here. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.56 to 1.82. FC Cincinnati won this pairing for the first time in our records, after 3 meetings without a win.