Viking 4–1 Sabah FK: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

It landed.

Current ratings

1611against1471

A 140-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

Viking2.83

Sabah FK1.37

Expected share of the points

01
A 66.1% / 20.8% / 13.1% split off ratings of 1611 and 1471. Both components point the same way, toward Viking: 1.60 to 0.95 going forward, 1.08 to 1.19 going back.
02
xG: 2.83 to 1.37. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +111 and -29. The two ratings differ by 140 points. 1 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The four component numbers read 1.60, 1.08, 0.95, 1.19. The model keeps one current rating per side, so these include this match. The distribution runs from 66.1% down to 13.1%. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 2-1 on 8.2%. The model gives 79.2% to someone winning. Between them, the home side holds the higher rating. Rounded, that is 2-1. Played and finished 4-1. Only 4 rated matches back the Sabah FK figure. Logged in advance of kickoff — 62.9% / 21.7% / 15.4%. The result went the way that forecast pointed. Viking holds a 45.3-point edge on the next outcome. Viking carries the largest share, 66.1%. Viking's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 76.5%.
03
Produced in-house by elo-poisson-v1 over full match history. Analysis, not tips.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Viking comfortably beat Sabah FK 4-1 on 4 November 2026.

Before the match

12 goals for and 12 against accompanied Viking's two wins, one draw and two defeats across five outings. On 30 October, Viking recorded a 3-2 defeat visiting Bodo/Glimt.

Eliteserien, 30 October brought an away meeting with Bodo/Glimt; Viking lost 2-3, a return of two goals scored and three conceded. Viking hosted Tromso on 25 October (Eliteserien) and won 3-1; their goals totalled three, compared with one conceded. Aston Villa hosted Viking (Champions League) on 21 October. For Viking, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed. 3-2 was Viking's result against Fredrikstad on 17 October (Eliteserien), playing at home; Viking won, with three scored to two conceded. The 13 October fixture (Champions League) paired Viking with Bayern. Viking drew 3-3 at home, netting three goals while conceding three.

Viking stood 33rd in the results-based Champions League table before kickoff, with one point from three matches.

Sabah FK's previous three results comprised one win and two defeats. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 6 conceded. Dortmund were their latest opponents, at home on 20 October: a 2-1 defeat.

Playing at home against Dortmund (Champions League), Sabah FK finished 1-2 on 20 October. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 13 October: Sabah FK won 2-0 against Slavia Praha at home in Champions League, scoring two goals and allowing zero. Against Man United in Champions League, Sabah FK scored zero and conceded four on 10 September; the away from home result was 0-4.

three points in three matches put Sabah FK 26th in the pre-match results-based Champions League standings.

After the match

Patrick Orphé Mbina opened the scoring inside the first 11 minutes for Sabah FK, set up by Umarali Rahmonaliyev, to make it 1-0. Erik Botheim levelled it in the 27th minute for Viking, set up by Kristoffer Haugen, to make it 1-1. Zlatko Tripić put Viking in front 69 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. Henrik Falchener added to the tally late on, in the 81st minute for Viking, set up by Zlatko Tripić, to make it 3-1. With the 5th goal, Viking extended the lead through Erik Botheim in the 94th minute, set up by Peter Christiansen, to make it 4-1. Aden Mccarthy (77') was sent off. Kristoffer Haugen (2'), Gianni Stensness (18'), Umarali Rahmonaliyev (36') and Joy-Lance Mickels (87') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Viking 140 points stronger than Sabah FK. 2 gols came after the 80th minute. Viking: 66.1% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Viking picked up two yellow cards. The substitution total for Viking was five. After coming on for Viking in minute 56, Peter Christiansen provided an assist. Sabah FK picked up two yellow cards and one red card. The substitution total for Sabah FK was five. Joy-Lance Mickels was booked following entry for Sabah FK in the 33rd minute. The scoring record shows one lead change. Viking won after falling behind.