RC Lens 1–9 Como 1907: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

It landed.

Current ratings

1555against1750

A 195-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

RC Lens1.21

Como 19073.35

Expected share of the points

01
A 195-point edge to Como 1907, which the model prices at 20.4% / 23.4% / 56.2%.
02
Higher rating: the away side. The ratings draw on 47 and 52 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. 0 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Distance between the ratings: 195 points, wide on this scale. Neither component contradicts the other: Como 1907 leads 1.79-1.22 forward and 0.67-1.39 back. 76.6% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Como 1907 carries the largest share, 56.2%. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 32.3% / 27.0% / 40.7%. That call matched the result. Expected goals 1.21-3.35. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 1-3. Como 1907 holds a 32.8-point edge on the next outcome. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +55 and +250. Result on the day: 1-9. Attack/defence pairs: 1.22/1.39 and 1.79/0.67. Como 1907's expected share on the Elo curve comes to 67.9%. Outcomes span 35.8 points. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-3 at 7.9%.
03
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

Como 1907 overwhelmed RC Lens 9-1 on 4 November 2026.

Before the match

five goals for and eight against accompanied RC Lens's two wins and three defeats across five outings, failing to score in three of those games. A 1-0 defeat away to Lille (30 October) was their most recent result.

Ligue 1, 30 October brought an away meeting with Lille; RC Lens lost 0-1, a return of zero goals scored and one conceded. RC Lens hosted Paris FC on 24 October (Ligue 1) and won 2-1; their goals totalled two, compared with one conceded. Club Brugge hosted RC Lens (Champions League) on 21 October. For RC Lens, the score was 0-3: zero goals scored, three allowed. 3-1 was RC Lens's result against Troyes on 17 October (Ligue 1), playing away from home; RC Lens won, with three scored to one conceded. The 13 October fixture (Champions League) paired RC Lens with Sporting CP. RC Lens lost 0-2 at home, netting zero goals while conceding two.

RC Lens: 27th, three points, three matches in the calculated Champions League standings at kickoff.

Como 1907's previous five results comprised five wins. Their goal totals were 13 scored and 3 conceded, with no defeats. Latest: a 1-0 win at home to Venezia FC on 1 November; their biggest win in that spell was 4-1 at home to Man United on 21 October.

Playing at home against Venezia FC (Serie A), Como 1907 finished 1-0 on 1 November. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition. 27 October: Como 1907 won 3-1 against Torino away from home in Serie A, scoring three goals and allowing one. Against Sassuolo in Serie A, Como 1907 scored two and conceded zero on 24 October; the at home result was 2-0. Como 1907's at home game on 21 October (Champions League) ended 4-1 against Man United, with four goals for and one against. On 18 October, Fiorentina faced Como 1907 in Serie A: Como 1907 won 3-1 away from home, having scored three and conceded one.

Before kickoff, Champions League's results-based standings placed Como 1907 11th after three matches and six points.

After the match

Anastasios Douvikas opened the scoring inside the first 7 minutes for Como 1907, set up by Maximo Perrone, to make it 1-0. Anastasios Douvikas added to the tally in the 32nd minute for Como 1907, set up by Alex Valle, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Como 1907 extended the lead through Nico Paz in the 40th minute, set up by Anastasios Douvikas, to make it 3-0. Lucas Da Cunha scored the 4th goal for Como 1907 47 minutes into the game as they extended the lead, set up by Nico Paz, to make it 4-0. Como 1907 extended the lead 53 minutes into the game; the match's 5th goal came through Marc-Oliver Kempf, set up by Luis Milla, to make it 5-0. The 6th goal came 57 minutes into the game from Anastasios Douvikas for Como 1907, who extended the lead, set up by Nico Paz, to make it 6-0. 62 minutes into the game, Mattia Liberali supplied goal number 7 as Como 1907 extended the lead, set up by Jacobo Ramón, to make it 7-0. Ruben Aguilar got one back 65 minutes into the game for RC Lens, set up by Florian Thauvin, to make it 1-7. With the 9th goal, Como 1907 extended the lead through Martin Baturina 69 minutes into the game, set up by Mattia Liberali, to make it 8-1. Matteo Papaccioli scored the 10th goal for Como 1907 in the 91st minute as they extended the lead, set up by Mattia Liberali, to make it 9-1. Samson Baidoo (34') and Mickaël Cuisance (75') were booked. 56.2% is Como 1907's winning probability here from current model ratings, alongside their recorded victory. On current ratings the model puts Como 1907 at around 3.35 gols in this pairing; they scored 9 here. Como 1907's current recorded form ends with 6 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Serie A and the 2026/27 Champions League. two yellow cards went to RC Lens. The substitution total for RC Lens was four. The substitution total for Como 1907 was five. After coming on for Como 1907 in minute 58, Martin Baturina scored in minute 69. Mattia Liberali scored in minute 62 and provided an assist following entry for Como 1907 in the 58th minute. Matteo Papaccioli, on in the 61st minute, scored in minute 91.