Before the match

PAE AEK came into the game with one win and two defeats from their last three outings, scoring three goals and conceding eight. A 5-1 defeat away to Man City (20 October) was their most recent result.

PAE AEK's away from home game on 20 October (Champions League) ended 1-5 against Man City, with one goal for and five against. On 14 October, Shaktar faced PAE AEK in Champions League: PAE AEK lost 1-3 away from home, having scored one and conceded three. Champions League, 8 September brought a home meeting with LASK; PAE AEK won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded.

PAE AEK stood 27th in the results-based Champions League table before kickoff, with three points from three matches.

Real Madrid: five wins over five games; 17 goals scored, six conceded, unbeaten. Santander were their latest opponents, away on 1 November: a 3-0 win.

Against Santander in La Liga, Real Madrid scored three and conceded zero on 1 November; the away from home result was 3-0. Real Madrid's away from home game on 25 October (La Liga) ended 2-1 against Barça, with two goals for and one against. On 21 October, RB Leipzig faced Real Madrid in Champions League: Real Madrid won 4-1 at home, having scored four and conceded one. La Liga, 18 October brought a home meeting with Sevilla FC; Real Madrid won 4-1, a return of four goals scored and one conceded. Real Madrid visited Roma on 14 October (Champions League) and won 4-3; their goals totalled four, compared with three conceded.

nine points in three matches put Real Madrid 5th in the pre-match results-based Champions League standings.

After the match

Aboubakary Koita opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for PAE AEK, set up by Luka Jović, to make it 1-0. Jude Bellingham levelled it in the 32nd minute for Real Madrid, set up by Cucurella, to make it 1-1. PAE AEK regained the lead through Stavros Pilios 75 minutes into the game, set up by Aboubakary Koita, to make it 2-1. With the 4th goal, Real Madrid drew level through Kylian Mbappé 78 minutes into the game, set up by Denzel Dumfries, to make it 2-2. With the 5th goal, Real Madrid took the lead through Federico Valverde in the 92nd minute, set up by Brahim Diaz, to make it 3-2. Kervin Arriaga (34') and Cucurella (65') were booked. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have Real Madrid 327 points stronger than PAE AEK. Real Madrid's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 72.5% for a win in this pairing. Real Madrid's current recorded form ends with 7 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 La Liga and the 2026/27 Champions League. PAE AEK picked up one yellow card. PAE AEK: four substitutions. Real Madrid picked up one yellow card. Real Madrid: five substitutions. Federico Valverde, on in the 67th minute, scored in minute 92. Brahim Diaz entered for Real Madrid at 81 minutes and later provided an assist. Across the goals, the lead switched one time. Real Madrid turned a deficit into victory.