LASK 4–0 Sl. Bratislava: result & stats

Gooolll model readHow this works

It landed.

Current ratings

1514against1433

A 81-point difference on the rating scale.

The present numbers

Recorded ahead of kickoff

Goal expectation

LASK2.61

Sl. Bratislava1.25

Expected share of the points

01
Both components point the same way, toward LASK: 1.20 to 0.82 going forward, 1.14 to 1.47 going back. On rating it is 1514 against 1433, which the model resolves to 58.3% / 22.9% / 18.8%.
02
Outcomes span 39.5 points. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 2-1 on 9.0%. Ratings shown are post-fixture — one current value is kept per team. Scorelines above 8%: 1. As a single number the model says 2-1. Our pre-match read, logged before the game: 51.4% / 24.6% / 24.0%. It landed. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +14 and -67. The xG line reads 2.61 to 1.25. The model gives 77.1% to someone winning. LASK carries the largest share, 58.3%. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 69.9% to 30.1%. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 81 points. The LASK figure is drawn from 4 rated matches — thin enough that one result would move it. Attack/defence pairs: 1.20/1.14 and 0.82/1.47. Played and finished 4-0. The higher rating belongs to the home side. LASK leads the distribution by 35.4 points over the draw.
03
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.

Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.

Match report

LASK overwhelmed Sl. Bratislava 4-0 on 3 November 2026.

Before the match

LASK's previous three results comprised one win and two defeats. Their goal totals were 6 scored and 9 conceded. Latest: a 3-2 win away to Sporting CP on 21 October.

3-2 was LASK's result against Sporting CP on 21 October (Champions League), playing away from home; LASK won, with three scored to two conceded. The 14 October fixture (Champions League) paired LASK with Liverpool. LASK lost 3-6 at home, netting three goals while conceding six. Playing away from home against PAE AEK (Champions League), LASK finished 0-1 on 8 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition.

three points in three matches put LASK 24th in the pre-match results-based Champions League standings.

Sl. Bratislava: three defeats over three games; one goal scored, 13 conceded, without a win. Roma were their latest opponents, away on 20 October: a 4-0 defeat.

Playing away from home against Roma (Champions League), Sl. Bratislava finished 0-4 on 20 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against four from the opposition. 14 October: Sl. Bratislava lost 0-3 against Stuttgart at home in Champions League, scoring zero goals and allowing three. Against PSG in Champions League, Sl. Bratislava scored one and conceded six on 9 September; the away from home result was 1-6.

Before kickoff, Champions League's results-based standings placed Sl. Bratislava 36th after three matches and zero points.

After the match

Kasper Jørgensen opened the scoring in the 19th minute for LASK, set up by Moses Usor, to make it 1-0. Kasper Jørgensen added to the tally in the 37th minute for LASK to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, LASK extended the lead through Robert Ljubicic in the 44th minute to make it 3-0. Samuel Adeniran scored the 4th goal for LASK 48 minutes into the game as they extended the lead, set up by Sascha Horvath, to make it 4-0. Christian Martinez (25') and Kevin Wimmer (36') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: LASK are 81 points stronger than Sl. Bratislava. LASK won; current ratings also favour them in this pairing, with a model probability of 58.3%. Sl. Bratislava's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive defeats in the 2026/27 Champions League. five changes were recorded for LASK. two yellow cards went to Sl. Bratislava. Sl. Bratislava: five substitutions. LASK finished with a clean sheet.